Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.003611 0.003786 0.003965 0.004162 0.004373 0.004591 0.004836
2025-02-02 0.003379 0.003652 0.003943 0.004277 0.004650 0.005058 0.005537
2025-02-09 0.003141 0.003461 0.003812 0.004225 0.004703 0.005242 0.005898
2025-02-16 0.002987 0.003343 0.003741 0.004222 0.004792 0.005453 0.006283
2025-02-23 0.002850 0.003231 0.003664 0.004199 0.004847 0.005616 0.006609
2025-03-02 0.002769 0.003176 0.003648 0.004241 0.004975 0.005865 0.007045
2025-03-09 0.002658 0.003079 0.003573 0.004204 0.004999 0.005983 0.007318
2025-03-16 0.002558 0.002989 0.003502 0.004166 0.005016 0.006087 0.007571
2025-03-23 0.002453 0.002888 0.003412 0.004098 0.004989 0.006131 0.007743
2025-03-30 0.002359 0.002798 0.003330 0.004036 0.004965 0.006173 0.007910
2025-04-06 0.002306 0.002755 0.003305 0.004044 0.005031 0.006335 0.008249
2025-04-13 0.002187 0.002625 0.003167 0.003899 0.004885 0.006204 0.008164
2025-04-20 0.002143 0.002591 0.003150 0.003915 0.004961 0.006381 0.008537
2025-04-27 0.002138 0.002607 0.003198 0.004019 0.005161 0.006742 0.009201
2025-05-04 0.002072 0.002540 0.003137 0.003972 0.005147 0.006798 0.009410
2025-05-11 0.002028 0.002501 0.003109 0.003969 0.005194 0.006942 0.009759
2025-05-18 0.001979 0.002454 0.003069 0.003948 0.005214 0.007045 0.010049
2025-05-25 0.001956 0.002440 0.003073 0.003987 0.005320 0.007280 0.010563
2025-06-01 0.001907 0.002390 0.003027 0.003953 0.005319 0.007351 0.010812
2025-06-08 0.001860 0.002342 0.002981 0.003918 0.005313 0.007414 0.011047
2025-06-15 0.001807 0.002283 0.002918 0.003855 0.005263 0.007406 0.011162
2025-06-22 0.001757 0.002228 0.002859 0.003798 0.005219 0.007403 0.011284
2025-06-29 0.001731 0.002206 0.002846 0.003806 0.005274 0.007560 0.011695